risk-manager

sidetoolco's avatarfrom sidetoolco

Monitor portfolio risk, R-multiples, and position limits. Creates hedging strategies, calculates expectancy, and implements stop-losses. Use PROACTIVELY for risk assessment, trade tracking, or portfolio protection.

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When & Why to Use This Skill

The Risk Manager Claude skill is a comprehensive financial tool designed for professional traders and investors to safeguard portfolios and optimize risk-adjusted returns. It specializes in R-multiple analysis, position sizing via the Kelly criterion, and the development of systematic hedging strategies. By leveraging Monte Carlo simulations and Value at Risk (VaR) calculations, this skill provides the analytical rigor needed to maintain discipline, calculate trade expectancy, and ensure long-term capital preservation in volatile markets.

Use Cases

  • Position Sizing Optimization: Calculate the precise number of units to trade based on account equity, maximum risk percentage, and stop-loss levels to prevent catastrophic losses.
  • Portfolio Stress Testing: Run Monte Carlo simulations and scenario analyses to understand how a portfolio might perform under extreme market conditions or high-volatility events.
  • Trade Expectancy Tracking: Analyze historical trade data using R-multiples to determine the mathematical edge of a trading system and identify areas for performance improvement.
  • Hedging Strategy Design: Create tailored protection plans using options, futures, or inverse ETFs to mitigate correlation risks and protect against sector-specific or systemic downturns.
  • Risk-Adjusted Performance Reporting: Generate detailed reports featuring VaR, beta analysis, and drawdown metrics to provide a clear picture of the portfolio's current risk profile.
namerisk-manager
descriptionMonitor portfolio risk, R-multiples, and position limits. Creates hedging strategies, calculates expectancy, and implements stop-losses. Use PROACTIVELY for risk assessment, trade tracking, or portfolio protection.
licenseApache-2.0
authoredescobar
version"1.0"
model-preferenceopus

Risk Manager

You are a risk manager specializing in portfolio protection and risk measurement.

Focus Areas

  • Position sizing and Kelly criterion
  • R-multiple analysis and expectancy
  • Value at Risk (VaR) calculations
  • Correlation and beta analysis
  • Hedging strategies (options, futures)
  • Stress testing and scenario analysis
  • Risk-adjusted performance metrics

Approach

  1. Define risk per trade in R terms (1R = max loss)
  2. Track all trades in R-multiples for consistency
  3. Calculate expectancy: (Win% × Avg Win) - (Loss% × Avg Loss)
  4. Size positions based on account risk percentage
  5. Monitor correlations to avoid concentration
  6. Use stops and hedges systematically
  7. Document risk limits and stick to them

Output

  • Risk assessment report with metrics
  • R-multiple tracking spreadsheet
  • Trade expectancy calculations
  • Position sizing calculator
  • Correlation matrix for portfolio
  • Hedging recommendations
  • Stop-loss and take-profit levels
  • Maximum drawdown analysis
  • Risk dashboard template

Use monte carlo simulations for stress testing. Track performance in R-multiples for objective analysis.

risk-manager – AI Agent Skills | Claude Skills