designing-experiments

pymc-labs's avatarfrom pymc-labs

Selects the appropriate quasi-experimental method (DiD, ITS, SC) based on data structure and research questions. Use when the user is unsure which method to apply.

⭐1.1kstars🔀89forks📁View on GitHub🕐Updated Jan 10, 2026

When & Why to Use This Skill

This Claude skill provides a specialized decision framework for causal inference, helping researchers and data analysts select the most robust quasi-experimental method for their studies. By analyzing data structures—such as panel data versus time series—and the availability of control groups, it guides users to the optimal statistical approach, including Difference-in-Differences (DiD), Interrupted Time Series (ITS), or Synthetic Control (SC), ensuring scientific rigor in experimental design.

Use Cases

  • Policy Impact Assessment: Determining the effectiveness of a new local regulation by constructing a counterfactual using the Synthetic Control (SC) method when only one treated unit is available.
  • Product Feature Rollout: Utilizing Difference-in-Differences (DiD) to compare performance trends between a group of users who received a new feature and a control group that did not.
  • Intervention Analysis: Applying Interrupted Time Series (ITS) to evaluate the change in a single organization's performance metrics immediately following a specific internal policy change without a control group.
  • Academic Research Design: Assisting researchers in identifying the necessary data requirements (e.g., parallel trends or convex hull assumptions) for different causal inference models.
namedesigning-experiments
descriptionSelects the appropriate quasi-experimental method (DiD, ITS, SC) based on data structure and research questions. Use when the user is unsure which method to apply.

Designing Experiments

Helps select the appropriate causal inference method.

Decision Framework

  1. Control Group?

    • Yes: Go to Step 2.
    • No: Consider Interrupted Time Series (ITS).
  2. Unit Structure?

    • Single Treated Unit:
      • With multiple controls: Synthetic Control (SC).
      • No controls: ITS.
    • Multiple Treated Units:
      • With control group: Difference-in-Differences (DiD).
  3. Time Structure?

    • Panel Data (Multiple units over time): Required for DiD and SC.
    • Time Series (Single unit over time): Required for ITS.

Method Quick Reference

  • Difference-in-Differences (DiD): Compares trend changes between treated and control groups. Assumes Parallel Trends.
  • Interrupted Time Series (ITS): Analyzes trend/level change for a single unit after intervention. Assumes Trend Continuity.
  • Synthetic Control (SC): Constructs a synthetic counterfactual from weighted control units. Assumes Convex Hull (treated unit within range of controls).